Statistical Islam, Part 4 of 9

Case 3: Political Islam
Religious Islam is defined as doctrine concerned with going to Paradise and avoiding Hell by following the Koran and the Sunna. The part of Islam that deals with the “outsider”, the Kafir, is defined as political Islam. Since so much of the Trilogy is about the Kafir, the statistical conclusion is that Islam is primarily a political system, not a religious system.

Mohammed’s success depended on politics, not religion. The Sira, Mohammed’s biography, gives a highly detailed accounting of his rise to power. He preached the religion of Islam for 13 years in Mecca and garnered 150 followers. He was forced to move to Medina and became a politician and warrior. During the last 9 years of his life, he was involved in an event of violence every 6 weeks. When he died every Arab was a Muslim. Mohammed succeeded through politics, not religion.

An estimate can be made that there were 100,000 Muslims when Mohammed died. Using this information allows a graph to be drawn:

There are two distinct growth processes-religion and politics. Teaching and religion grew at a rate of about 12 new Muslims per year. Politics and jihad grew at a rate of 10,000 new Muslims per year, an enormous increase. This is a process yield improvement of over 800%. Politics was almost a thousand times more effective than religion.

If Mohammed had continued with preaching religion we can extrapolate that there would have only been 265 Muslims when he died, instead of the 100,000 that resulted from his politics and jihad. This gives us an estimate of 265 conversions due to religion and 99,735 conversions to due the political jihad process. We can calculate the relative contributions of religion and politics in growth. Islam’s success was 0.3% religion and 99.7% politics at the time of Mohammed’s death, 632 AD.

This political importance is reflected in the text of the Sira. There are many more pages devoted to a year of jihad than there are devoted to preaching Islam. It is instructive to see the amount of the Sira text devoted to these stages of development .

The Sira devotes about 5 times as many words to politics than religion on a yearly basis. It gives politics 5 times the coverage because it is that much more important.

Islam’s political nature is also found in the Hadith that devotes 37% of its text to the Kafir.

There would be no Islam today, if it were only a religion. Statistics show that Islamic politics is what brought Islam success, not religion. To say that Islam is the religion of peace misses the point, since the religion is not the core of Islam’s power. It is politics that count, not religion.

The statistical conclusion: Islam is primarily a political ideology.

For the statistics go to:

Bill Warner, Director, Center for the Study of Political Islam
Copyright © 2010 CBSX, LLC,

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8 Responses

  1. Jim Hess

    What of the Emperor Constantine’s sometimes armed intervention in disputes between Christian sects, or the fact that for centuries throughout Europe it was the king or feudal lord who decided the religion of the people, the Thirty Year’s War, the persecutions of Cathars, Huguenots, Papists, and other heterodox forms of Christianity?

    I’m not arguing that Mohammed’s victories were not political. But you fail to establish that the mechanisms behind the spread of Islam are different from those of other religions. You’ve not given us your null and alternative hypotheses.

    You fail your junior physics course.

  2. Democracyistheanswer

    Thanks, Mr. Warner.

    This makes sense: the preponderance of words in Islam’s source texts (The Trilogy) are devoted to solving ‘THE PROBLEM’.

    The ‘problem’ is that most people don’t accept Mohammed as a valid prophet. His diatribes, sermons and rants were collected in the Koran, Sira and Hadiths and primarily focus the attention of Moslems OUTWARDS towards flesh-and-blood human enemies (the kafirs), rather than INWARDS towards the human spirit.

    Politics is about our power relationships with humans. Religion is about our relationship with the Supreme Being. Mohammed’s focus is constantly on the ‘enemy’…the kafirs…how to corner them, defeat them, rob them, remove their rights and enslave them.

    Thus, Islam is mainly a supremacist political doctrine. (4/5)

    Makes perfect sense.

  3. CJK

    @ Jim Hess
    You fail relevance class, F-.
    Doesn’t matter what Constantine or any other supposed ‘Christian’ has done.


  4. grog3

    You guys are way above my level, but it seems to me that the difference is that Islam is still acting out it’s 7 century crap but for the most part Christianity has moved on.

  5. […] is Part 4  of a series on Statistical Islam by Bill […]

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  7. Matthew Denton

    I have only recently come across Dr. Warner, but I have bookmarked his sites, and I am reading what he says. so far, it seems to me he makes a lot of sense. Peace and religion did not sell to the arabs in Mohamed’s day, or he was a very poor salesman of peace and religion. When he decided to sell bloodshed and power, sales went through the roof. I had a rude surprise when I found that Mohamed wed his fourth wife when she was seven years old, but praise be, he had the restraint to wait until she was nine to consummate the marriage. I find it hard to believe that anyone would follow such a man anywhere, for anything. Then, of course, I found even more surprises: for example, I recently read that a muslim asked his imam if it would be permitted to have intercourse with his dead wife’s body. The imam replied affirmatively, but only during the first six hours after death. I cannot imagine the depths of depravity inhabited by a man who would ask that question. I cannot imagine the mental processes that operate to prompt him to ask a “religious” leader for permission. I cannot even begin to process the idea that a belief system that produces a leader that answers such a question seriously would call itself a religion. Islam is a perversion of anything religious; it is deceit, manipulation, and appeal to base desire for power.

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